Sliver Expectations Rise with Rates

March 3, 2017 3:46AM CST

What a difference one week makes with expectations of a March rate hike jumping from 26% to 76%. It appears that inflation concerns have far exceeded our consensus. Although silver has benefited from industrial demand, dollar strength has been weighing in. I am under the impression that this may be another case where the market rallies once the FED finally does raise rates. Repealing Dodd Frank may also provide an underlying support by enabling banks to take advantage of more flexible lending, which may increase credit available to consumers, thereby creating more inflation. Looking at a chart, we see a high level of resistance at $18.50, and $16.00 as a key level of support. With a 38% retracement on the Fib, we may see the selling subside once we hit $17.50.

Silver Daily Chart

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