May coffee prices are trading lower today but remain between the December/February consolidation area. The market finished lower 1.20 cents lower for the second consecutive week but should find support at current levels with the price near the December lows. This comes amidst a weaker Brazilian currency which is coming off a three month low as well more wet weather in growing spots. Brazil is expected to have an off year for the crop with other producers reported to have supply issues which may contribute to a global supply deficit for the upcoming season. Most recent COT reports have indicated a large net short position which may fuel some short covering with a close above 105 needed to accelerate a move higher.

Coffee May ’19 Daily Chart

Coffee May '19 Daily Chart

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Alexander Turro

Senior Market Strategist
Alex began his career with an IB at the Chicago Board of Trade after graduating with a BA/BS from Indiana University. He then went on to work for a proprietary trading software company before joining RJO Futures as a Market Strategist.
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