Energy

Natural Gas Trending Sideways

Posted 01/10/2019 11:32AM CTJeff Ratajczak

After a rocky Nov and Dec. the trading range for natural gas is between $2.800 and $3.000 with a sideways trend.  Just like last year, not much happened until November when price basis March ran to $4.600.  Support comes in at $ 2.770.  Resistance is at $3.028.  Eventually, I believe the price will try to fill the gap to 3.109 as soon as the weather turns to a more seasonable pattern. Momentum studies are at low levels and turning up now.  Until we get confirmation from the other indicators, price action should stay in the range.

It’s cold in the Windy city, but weather forecasts signal above average temperatures for the coming 2 weeks.  Today’s est. is for a draw of -62 bcf.  The actual storage number was closer to -92 bcf, however the market seems to be absorbing the draw with no problem. As of Thursday morning, natural gas is up around 3.5 cents at $2.870. The top of gap should be taken as a profit target.  Support levels can be used to bail on bullish strategies and colder weather should support prices as the polar vortex moves in later in the winter.

Natural Gas Mar ’19 Daily Chart

Natural Gas Mar '19 Daily Chart

Jeff Ratajczak

Jeff attended Illinois State University. In 1993 Jeff began his financial career in the stock market as a retail broker. He transitioned to futures in 1999 with LFG Intermarket Group, which became ZAP Futures. In 2004 ZAP Futures was acquired by RJO Futures' parent company R.J. O'Brien. Jeff's focus is to assist clients in managing risk and speculate through futures and options strategies.