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Interest Rates

U.S. Government Yields Rebound Below 2% Low

Posted 06/26/2019 12:55PM CT | Alexander Turro

U.S. government bond yields have rebounded off Tuesday’s close below 2% on reinvigorated hopes of a potential trade agreement ahead of a scheduled meeting between President Trump and Chinese President Xi at the upcoming G-20 summit in Japan. Tuesday’s close below 2% on the benchmark ten-year note followed comments by the Fed President of St Louis stating that a 50-basis point cut is not warranted, and comments by Chairman Powell that the central bank is “mindful that monetary policy should not overreact to any individual data point or short-term swing in sentiment.” Yields have fallen in recent weeks in anticipation of lower interest rates but have edged higher today on a plunge in U.S. Durable Goods Orders with a 3.3% decline on a YoY basis, the most since July 2016. Near term resistance for Sept bonds comes in around the 156-00 handle at the double high with the yield on the ten-year note remaining bearish trend with today’s range seen between 1.98 -2.13.

30-Year Bond Sep ’19 Daily Chart

30-Year Bond Sep '19 Daily Chart

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Alexander Turro

Market Strategist
Alex began his career with an IB at the Chicago Board of Trade after graduating with a BA/BS from Indiana University. He then went on to work for a proprietary trading software company before joining RJO Futures as a Market Strategist.
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