Use Futures Markets to Protect Your Equity Portfolio

October 24, 2017 10:04AM CDT

At what point does it make sense to use the futures markets to protect your stock portfolio against a downturn in the market? You have to have some protection against a market correction that is long overdue and will likely be sharp and swift when it finally does happen. Look at a futures account as an “insurance policy”. You hope that you won’t need it, but you’ll be glad you have it when the time comes to use it.

It’s extremely difficult, psychologically, to short a market that doesn’t seem to have a top. How many times have you heard recently that the Dow Jones has reached a new all-time high? It’s like a broken record. It defies logic, yet, the market keeps moving higher. We still have historically low interest rates. It looks like Washington might be able to get something done with tax reform, and whether they do or not, it’s still going to be a sell opportunity in my opinion. Geo-politics are always going to be a wild card and we have a president that can be unpredictable. We don’t know what the catalyst will be, but there will be an excuse to sell stocks at record levels.

The Dow Futures, as of now, have rallied an additional 1,400 points just since September 12 when it finally broke out above 22,000. Today, it is trading at 23,400. That is a 6% increase in just six weeks! That’s 6% of 22,000! Is that really justifiable? It makes sense to use the futures markets to protect your portfolio against a downturn in the equity markets.


Dec '17 Emini Dow Daily Chart

Dec '17 Emini S&P Daily Chart

RJO Futures | 222 South Riverside Plaza, Suite 1200 | Chicago, Illinois 60606 | United States
800.441.1616 | 312.373.5478

The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading advice is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that RJO Futures believes to be reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgement at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades.

This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of RJO Futures and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. This material is not a research report prepared by RJO Futures Research Department. By accepting this communication, you agree that you are an experienced user of the futures markets, capable of making independent trading decisions, and agree that you are not, and will not, rely solely on this communication in making trading decisions.

Distribution in some jurisdictions may be prohibited or restricted by law. Persons in possession of this communication indirectly should inform themselves about and observe any such prohibition or restrictions. To the extent that you have received this communication indirectly and solicitations are prohibited in your jurisdiction with registration, the market commentary in this communication should not be considered a solicitation.