RJO FuturesCast

Daily Futures Market News, Commentary, & Insight

After a long grind down from posting a double top at $11,800 it looks like the bleeding may have stopped. In early February we saw this type of reversal off the lows where heavy volume drove the contract to double in value over the next 20 days.  I would suspect that this rally was triggered by extensive short covering by the short sellers which is typically a bull move in a bear market. However, the continued follow through today suggests that we could see another couple days of rallies and a move back up to $10,000 would mark a 61.8% retracement off of the low. If we see a breakdown below $7,000 the bull recovery would be negated and that could be the final blow to the longs, so time will tell.

Bitcoin Daily Chart

Bitcoin Daily Chart

Phillip Streible

Early in his career Phillip began trading his own account as a screen trader focusing on the metals, grains and stock indices. He then became a Series 7 licensed financial consultant with A.G. Edwards. Later, he expanded his trading experience into a Series 3 licensed commodity broker with Investment Analysis Group. Most recently he was a senior market strategist at MF Global before joining RJO Futures in October 2011 as a senior commodities broker. As a senior commodities broker his goal is to show clients how to anticipate, recognize and react to bull and bear market conditions through the use of technical analysis techniques that help them to define risk.