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Cocoa Futures Prices Continue to Hold as Grindings Data Take Front Seat

Posted 04/13/2018 8:56AM CT | Peter Mooses

Fundamental news in cocoa continues to be the story in the futures market. Grindings data is expected to show a rise in all regions. The European Cocoa Association report is released April 18 and the North American report on April 19. The market is being cautious as the trading range has tightened this week – you can see this in the July chart below. Expect volatility over the next few weeks. West African output is also going to add to this trend. Prices have moved higher, faster than most anticipated. Will the new data support the market or cause a break and correction back to 2200? Most likely the data will support the market and not be much of a mover but traders will lean on the side of caution. Watch support at 2475 – prices appear to like the level above 2500. Resistance has been set at 2670, bullish fundamentals and a break above this could set the market to 2750 over the next few weeks.

Cocoa Jul ’18 Daily Chart

Cocoa Jul '18 Daily Chart

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Peter Mooses

Senior Market Strategist
Follow Peter on Twitter @PMoosesRJO. Peter's interest in trading began during a college internship with Bunge North America on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade, where he assisted commodities traders and performed market research and analysis. Upon earning a B.A. in economics from the University of Iowa, Peter served as an analyst, transaction manager and team lead in the Global Trust Divisions for LaSalle Bank and Bank of America, where he managed transaction activity in multi-million dollar client fixed income and asset-backed securities portfolios. After years in the banking industry, it became apparent that Peter's real passion lies in futures trading. He joined RJO Futures because he enjoys the analytical aspects of futures trading and appreciates the economic impact that commodities have across all markets. Peter believes in utilizing market analysis and trends to help clients achieve balance between risk and return, while always keeping their investment objectives top of mind.
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