RJO FuturesCast

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Energies

Crude Cracks $60

Posted 07/12/2019 10:08AM CT | Michael O'Donnell

The August crude oil contract has had a strong week opening at $57.77 and is trading at $60.28 per barrel. Wednesday’s EIA had a much stronger than anticipated draw in inventories of 9.5 million barrels along with stronger equities and a risk on tilt this week.

As the market is now above the $60 per barrel level, it will be of interest to see if the market is able to sustain this level as yesterday’s candle has the potential to be an island reversal should today continue to trade lower than yesterday’s close.  The chart below also shows a trendline break to the upside, potentially leading the way for a re-test of the highs of April this year.

While the technical action this week has taken the market above a number moving averages, and it could be possible to see some chop around the $60 per barrel level, akin to late March. The market should be facing a trend decision regarding the $60 level as well as the typical supply and demand factors.

Crude Oil Aug ’19 Daily Chart

Crude Oil Aug '19 Daily Chart

Michael O'Donnell

Mike started his career in the markets on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade as a trade checker for a local market maker in the Dow Futures pit. This led to interning with an independent introducing broker and going on to work with a number of market participants including: speculating clients, hedge clients, introducing brokers, futures commission merchants, commodity trading advisors, proprietary traders, trading educators, system creators, and a number of international financial market participants.