RJO FuturesCast

Daily Futures Market News, Commentary, & Insight

December gold futures have cracked the most important trend line in recent months, as gold is now set to make new highs and once again climb back above the all too important $2000 level. My most recent write up on gold basically stated that unless that trend was broken, and a close was above roughly $1925 or above (breaking the trend line lower) that we would likely see a push higher from that point on. I think the technical aspect for a bullish bet on gold now seems to make sense. Fundamentally, everyone is going to have their own theory on metals often especially. The inflation aspect could very well be the biggest factor here as a Biden presidency might mean even more stimulus than the original bill was calling for. It appears that endless money printing by the fed is going to continue, and once again keep the bullish case longer term for gold alive and well. India and China have been buying quite a bit of gold in the spot market as of recent, and the gold and silver ETF inflows have been increased month over month week after week for quite some time and should continue to support the physical buying. Last but not least the USD index seems to be once again get shoved to the side and new lows are expected sooner than later. Yesterday the December USD index futures hit fresh recent lows and it appears that another close beneath the contract lows will come soon, boosting golds chances at a return to glory. Traders should consider a number of bullish bets but exercise caution as the volatility is nowhere near gone.

Gold Dec ’20 Daily Chart
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Joshua Graves

Senior Market Strategist
Josh began his career in May of 2013 after graduating from Purdue University, West Lafayette. He received a degree in Agricultural Economics, with a Certificate in Entrepreneurship. He started at Paragon Investments in Kansas, the heart of wheat country. While working there he developed long term relationships with corn, soybean, and wheat producers, speaking with them on a weekly basis. His goal was to market their physical production more effectively through tracking basis, as well as hedge their exposure in the grain and cattle markets through a variety of futures and option strategies. He then moved to Florida to work for PFL Petroleum, a physical biofuels brokerage, and gained significant exposure to OTC and physical energy markets. Trading has been a passion from day one of his career. In his free time he stays active in downtown Chicago, attends sporting events, and holds an FAA Private Pilot’s License and flies Cirrus and Cessna aircraft regularly.
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