RJO FuturesCast

Daily Futures Market News, Commentary, & Insight

Daily Futures Trading Update

The Top Technical Indicator for Gasoline Traders to Watch Now

Posted 09/01/2017 11:17AM CT | Phillip Streible

There are many different types of fundamental and technical chart patterns that market technicians focus on when making trading decisions, and multiple ways to interpret them. This is why technical analysis is an art form. The key is to be able to recognize these patterns and implement a trading strategy based on what you believe the charts are telling you are going to happen next. As a trader, it is important that you have a good understanding of the basic patterns before you can develop a strategy to give you a potential edge. When you combine a couple of these different methods, you really unlock the power of technical analysis.

Moving Average Crossover
The moving average crossover is a trend identification tool that compares different moving averages. It provides a trading signal when momentum shifts directions. When a shorter moving average crosses a longer one, the trend is seen as up. When a shorter moving average crosses below a longer one, the trend is seen as down.

In the gasoline chart below, we see the blue 50-day moving average cross the red 100-day as the market pushed up on news of Hurricane Harvey. It seems as if the green 200-day moving average would show that historically, the market has been stuck at an equilibrium price of 1.5000. I would refer to this as the Bull/Bear line. I would expect with the storm damaged pipeline carrying 58.8 million gallons of fuel from Texas to the East Coast, we would continue to see futures maintain levels over 1.5000 and ultimately the 50-day and 100-day crossing over the 200-day and moving higher indicating a bull market is solidly in place.

Oct ’17 RBOB Daily Chart 

 Oct '17 RBOB Daily Chart

 

800-438-4805312-373-5200Series 3 Licensed

Phillip Streible

Senior Market Strategist
Early in his career Phillip began trading his own account as a screen trader focusing on the metals, grains and stock indices. He then became a Series 7 licensed financial consultant with A.G. Edwards. Later, he expanded his trading experience into a Series 3 licensed commodity broker with Investment Analysis Group. Most recently he was a senior market strategist at MF Global before joining RJO Futures in October 2011 as a senior commodities broker. As a senior commodities broker his goal is to show clients how to anticipate, recognize and react to bull and bear market conditions through the use of technical analysis techniques that help them to define risk.
Read More