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Threatening Weather Forecast, Time to Build Premium?

Posted 07/12/2019 9:13AM CT | Tony Cholly

Closing sharply higher off a bearish USDA report is a bullish development, it will not take much in the way of weather problems to spark further rallies. After dealing with flooding and too much rain during planting, farmers are now seeing extreme heat with zero precipitation in certain areas, and this is going to be a big issue. The eastern corn belt still has some rain in their 6-10 day, but Iowa is now going to run into issues after avoiding the flooding during planting. 10-straight days over 90 degrees with minimal rain and a shallow root system, the crop could see some stress going into pollination. Don’t forget, the USDA is also re-surveying 14 states about planted acreage which will be included in August report. This should add more support to the corn market.  Close in buying support for Dec corn is 440.  Resistance comes in today at 453 (which has been broken before I was able to publish this article), which could leave 490+ as a new target.

Corn Dec ’19 Daily Chart

Corn Dec '19 Daily Chart

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Tony Cholly

Senior Market Strategist
Tony majored in Economics at Eastern Illinois University. He performed his thesis on the market price of corn in the market and the factors that affect it. Tony was drawn to futures trading because of the opportunity to have financial gains in an economic environment. He prides himself on working with customers one-on-one and developing a trading strategy based on the client's needs and wants.
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