The USD is being destroyed as a result of the tempering of 2019 rate hike outlook. We are thinking the dollar will see more selling following the U.S. initial claims uptick, with the prospect of a temporary avoidance of a U.S. government shutdown giving little reason to bargain hunt the dollar from the long side. It seems like the USD has made a major top, as its distinction as a strong economy has been pierced with the Fed adding recession prospects by its rate hike. The USD in the last positioning report showed a net spec and fund long of 40,999 contracts and that would seem to leave a long liquidation as a force in the USD trade.  Resistance is around 9680 and 9695, while first support is at 9625 and 9580.

U.S. Dollar Index Mar ’19 Daily Chart

U.S. Dollar Index Mar '19 Daily chart

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Tony Cholly

Senior Market Strategist

Tony majored in Economics at Eastern Illinois University. He performed his thesis on the market price of corn in the market and the factors that affect it. Tony was drawn to futures trading because of the opportunity to have financial gains in an economic environment. He prides himself on working with customers one-on-one and developing a trading strategy based on the client's needs and wants.

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