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Weather Premium and Global Risk Sentiment Leading Cocoa Futures

Posted 11/01/2019 9:00AM CTPeter Mooses

Current weather conditions are supporting cocoa prices. Rain in key growing regions could cause supply issues. The ongoing concern with global demand is also causing prices to consolidate and trade in a range. 2495 has held as resistance.

Global risk sentiment has added to volatility in currencies, which has carried over to cocoa prices – the Pound and Euro are the two main contributors.

If dry weather returns in West Africa after this recent rain, new crop cocoa beans could have some disease and damage, this could propel futures’ prices over 3000. This will be critical as traders begin to roll from the December to March contract over the next few weeks.

Peter Mooses

Follow Peter on Twitter @PMoosesRJO. Peter's interest in trading began during a college internship with Bunge North America on the floor of the Chicago Board of Trade, where he assisted commodities traders and performed market research and analysis. Upon earning a B.A. in economics from the University of Iowa, Peter served as an analyst, transaction manager and team lead in the Global Trust Divisions for LaSalle Bank and Bank of America, where he managed transaction activity in multi-million dollar client fixed income and asset-backed securities portfolios. After years in the banking industry, it became apparent that Peter's real passion lies in futures trading. He joined RJO Futures because he enjoys the analytical aspects of futures trading and appreciates the economic impact that commodities have across all markets. Peter believes in utilizing market analysis and trends to help clients achieve balance between risk and return, while always keeping their investment objectives top of mind.