Gold is being capped by the $1,800 resistance and has a series of lower highs and lower lows this week. On top of that we see the US Dollar breaking out to new highs. I believe that gold is likely to move back down towards the $1,750 range and perhaps consolidate there for a while. Gold and commodities in general are under pressure mainly by this rally in the Dollar but some of the arguments that used to “support” gold prices are seemingly no longer supportive. Surging Delta cases, inflation fears, Fed tapering, softening data, recovery pace slowing, inflation fears moderating…what is it? Sounds confusing? Yes, it is confusing, and the traders are uncertain what to expect over the next three to six months. As it looked like we were headed for a huge economic boom due to re-opening the economy, we are in fact sliding back towards mandates that actually kill business and jobs.

It seems to me that gold has to pull back again to at least $1,750 or perhaps even $1,700 before traders find value.