Last week I advised traders “Today’s break above $5.83 ¼ is a minor break out to the upside after 2 days of market consolidation. Traders should watch for another push to break above the major trendline (see red line on chart below) if that happens, I believe it will, the market should push quickly to the $6.00 area.  I remain bullish…” In fact, after the break above $5.83 ¼ on December 3rd March corn had an inside day and then has moved higher for the last 3 trading sessions with each session seeing a higher high and a higher low. At the time of this writing, March corn is trading at $5.91, a solid move higher since last Friday. At 11am today the USDA will release the Supply/Demand and Crop Production Report, this could be a market mover. I would recommend traders watch for a breakout above $6.01 ¼ or break below $5.55 ¾ (see red lines below) to gauge short term market direction.

The “big picture” numbers remain the same and probably will for some time. I firmly believe a break below $4.96 could give the bears control of the market and a break above $6.39 ½ on the upside may have enough bulls behind it to propel corn to all-time highs. There are several minor areas of support and resistance inside this range that can help with short term market direction if violated. Call me directly at 1-800-367-7290 for more in-depth discussion on these numbers and to discuss trading strategies specific to your situation.

I would suggest using an option strategy to manage your futures position risk or an outright option strategy. Implied option volatility has come down quite a bit from its most recent highs mainly due to the consolidation and tighter trading ranges. I have 25-years of grain market experience, feel free to call or email with any questions you may have. Be sure to check out my archived weekly grain market insight articles posted on our website

**** Reserve your FREE 2022 Commodity Trading Guide Today! ****

 This 55-page guide is packed with indispensable market information.  It has a complete commodity calendar that lists the dates and times of Market Reports, option expiration dates, futures first notice dates, futures last trade dates, etc.  It readily serves as your commodity market encyclopedia giving you an in depth look at each commodity, there is market almanac for all actively traded commodities and much more!  To reserve your complimentary Commodity Trading Guide, send me an email at msabo@rjofutures.com with the following information: your full name, mailing address and a preferred phone number so we can confirm your request.  Once confirmed, I will reserve your trading guide, and have it sent out as soon as we receive them.

Corn Mar ’22 Daily Chart
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Michael Sabo

Senior Market Strategist
Michael was past president and co-founder of United Futures Trading Company, Inc., as well as Investment Analysis Group, Inc. In 2006, Michael joined Lind-Waldock as a senior market strategist. He joined RJO Futures in 2011.
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